Justin Beck | 23 years old | Tarleton State senior (Digital Media / Game Design)
Knows the market because he IS the market. Has invested ~$49 in research, zero self-funding capital, ~$40K student debt. Ready to execute.
Too Tall Lanes — Bowling + arcade + simple food venue (snack counter Phase 1, full menu Phase 2, bar Phase 3+)
Primary Target: University Plaza, 2133 W Washington St, Stephenville TX — end cap unit (former Big Lots), 25,050 SF available, 0.5 miles from Tarleton campus. Adjacent anchors: HEB, Walmart. Lease rate confirmed at $10/SF + $4.12 NNN ($14.12/SF/yr all-in). For our 8,000–10,000 SF footprint: ~$9,400–$11,800/mo base; $12–16K/mo all-in. CRE research conducted March 29, 2026 (7 properties available, 284,200 SF total inventory in Stephenville).
Phase 1 Startup: $600–700K via SBA 7(a) loan
| Category | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Equipment (4–6 bowling lanes, arcade machines) | ~$150–180K |
| Buildout/renovation | ~$200–250K |
| Kitchen equipment (Phase 1 snack counter only) | $5–10K |
| Operating capital (first 3–6 months) | ~$150–200K |
| Permits, licensing, contingency | ~$50–75K |
| Lease deposit + first 3 months | ~$48–64K (at confirmed $12–16K/mo) |
Equity Gap: Justin needs 10–20% down ($60–140K). He has $0.
| Stream | Monthly Est. | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bowling | $8–12K | 4–6 lanes @ $15–18/hr |
| Arcade | $6–15K | 20–30 machines @ $300–500/mo each |
| Snack sales | $2–4K | Pizza, hot dogs, nachos, soda fountain |
| Year 1 baseline | $180–330K total | |
Break-even timeline: Month 10–14 (improved — confirmed $12–16K/mo rent vs. $26K/mo prior estimate saves ~$12K/month). Year 2+ alcohol menu adds $30–50K+/month upside.
| Metric | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Total startup cost | $600–700K |
| Monthly rent | $12,000–16,000/mo (market-confirmed, March 2026 — 8,000–10,000 sqft; University Plaza end cap @ $10/SF + $4.12 NNN) |
| Year 1 revenue | $180–330K |
| Year 1 COGS + labor | $120–180K |
| Break-even month | Month 10–14 (improved with confirmed lower rent) |
| Equipment cost (4-lane) | $150–160K |
| Equipment cost (6-lane) | $170–185K |
| Item | Status / Timeline |
|---|---|
| Zoning | B-2 commercial; CUP available (low risk) |
| Health department | 4–6 weeks for Phase 1 snack license |
| TABC (alcohol) | Deferred to Phase 3, no blocker |
| Building permits | Standard commercial buildout (8–12 weeks) |
| Timeline to open | 120–150 days from permit approval |
The Ask: Justin has $0 in equity and $40K in student debt. He cannot self-fund the 10–20% down payment for SBA 7(a) loans.
What we need to solve:
What is the fastest realistic path from where Justin is today to doors open?
Justin Beck is 23 years old (turning 24 in October) and a senior at Tarleton State University studying digital media with a concentration in game design. He's finishing his degree while working 5pm–12am shifts at Sonic, and he has zero business experience, no business credit, and no significant assets.
What he's NOT: Not asking for a handout. Not an MBA graduate. Not risk-free.
What he's asking for: A structured path to financing, help connecting with investors, and guidance from SBDC on solving the capital gap.
Stephenville: Population 18,000. Tarleton State University: 21,000+ students, growing at 17.5% year-over-year in spring 2026 (fastest-growing university in Texas). Combined addressable market: 39,000+ people.
The Problem: Zero entertainment options for students in Stephenville proper. The nearest bowling alley closed over a decade ago when Lone Star Lanes shut down (the building is now Ranger College campus). No interactive entertainment venues exist within city limits.
Students drive 30+ minutes to Granbury (PINS Bowling) or other towns for bowling and nightlife. Reddit posts from Tarleton students confirm: "Stephenville is dead after 9pm. Everything is 45 minutes away."
Building a bowling alley requires $527K–$900K upfront. It's capital-intensive, real-estate dependent, and requires regulatory approvals. This gap persisted for a decade because of financing barriers—not market rejection.
4-Lane Bowling + Arcade + Snack Counter. Minimum viable product designed to open, validate the market, and generate cash flow to self-fund Phase 2.
| Item | Cost | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bowling lanes (4x used) | $195K–$285K | Equipment + pins + scoring. Vendor: Murrey International |
| Arcade machines (15–20 units) | $15K–$25K | Revenue: $200/mo per machine = $36K–$48K/year |
| Furniture/seating | $8K–$12K | Arcade seating, lane seating, tables |
| POS system | $2K–$4K | Touch screen, card readers |
| Snack equipment | $5K–$10K | NOT a full kitchen in Phase 1 |
Equipment: Microwave ($300), fryer ($1,200), flat-top grill ($1,500), beverage cooler ($2K–$4K), popcorn machine ($800). Menu: Frozen pizza, hot dogs, nachos, popcorn, candy, sodas. Margin: 70–75% on food, 75% on beverages.
| Phase | Timeline | What's Added |
|---|---|---|
| Phase 1 | Months 1–16 | 4 lanes + arcade + snack counter (MVP) |
| Phase 2 | Months 18–24 | Real food menu, full kitchen buildout ($68K–$95K) |
| Phase 3 | Months 25–36 | TABC mixed beverage permit, bar service |
| Role | Salary | FTE |
|---|---|---|
| General Manager / Operations (Justin) | $40K–$50K | 1.0 |
| Assistant Manager | $28K–$35K | 1.0 |
| Shift Lead / Bowling Attendant | $22K–$26K | 2.0 |
| Snack Counter Staff | $18K–$21K | 1.5 |
| Cleaning / Maintenance | $20K–$25K | 1.0 |
| Total Annual Payroll | ~$165K–$205K | |
| Category | Low | High | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Equipment | $195K | $285K | 4 lanes used + scoring + pins |
| Floor / concrete prep | $41K | $78K | Leveling, subflooring |
| Electrical / MEP | $46K | $84K | 3-phase power, panel upgrades |
| HVAC commercial | $62K | $116K | Industrial cooling + air handling |
| Plumbing | $32K | $67K | Restrooms, snack counter, grease trap |
| Interior finishes | $101K | $161K | Drywall, paint, flooring, lighting |
| Arcade equipment | $15K | $25K | 15–20 machines |
| Snack equipment | $5K | $10K | Basic only, NOT full kitchen |
| Furniture | $8K | $12K | Seating, tables |
| POS + tech | $2K | $4K | System hardware |
| Contingency (15%) | $50K | $102K | Unexpected overages |
| TOTAL STARTUP | $557K | $944K | Mid-point: $751K |
Recommendation: Plan for $710K–$750K for 4-lane opening.
| Cost | Monthly | Annual |
|---|---|---|
| Lease (8,000–10,000 sqft • confirmed $10/SF + $4.12 NNN, March 2026) | $12,000–$16,000 | $144,000–$192,000 |
| Utilities | $2,500 | $30,000 |
| Payroll + taxes | $14K–$17K | $168K–$204K |
| Equipment maintenance | $1,500 | $18,000 |
| Arcade techs + parts | $800 | $9,600 |
| Food/beverage COGS | $2,500 | $30,000 |
| Insurance | $1,200 | $14,400 |
| Credit card processing | $800 | $9,600 |
| Marketing | $500 | $6,000 |
| Miscellaneous | $600 | $7,200 |
| TOTAL | $36.4K–$43.4K | $437K–$521K |
| Stream | Monthly | Annual | Assumptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling lane rentals | $8.5K–$10.5K | $102K–$126K | 60–70% capacity utilization Year 1 |
| Arcade | $3K–$4K | $36K–$48K | 15–20 machines at $200–$250/mo |
| Snack sales | $2.5K–$3.5K | $30K–$42K | 75% gross margin |
| Events / parties | $500–$1K | $6K–$12K | Not guaranteed Year 1 |
| TOTAL | $14.5K–$19K | $174K–$228K |
| Line | Annual |
|---|---|
| Revenue | $174,000 |
| COGS (food only) | ($30,000) |
| Gross Profit | $144,000 |
| Operating Costs | ($436,800) (updated: confirmed $12K/mo rent replaces $26K/mo baseline) |
| Operating Loss Year 1 | ($292,800) (vs. prior ($327,600) — $34,800/yr savings) |
Year 1 loss is expected. Utilization ramps from 60% to 85%+ by Year 2. Breakeven: Month 22–26 (confirmed lower rent moves break-even ~6 months earlier than prior estimate).
Monthly break-even: ~$40,400 revenue/month (revised down from $52,400 — confirmed $12–16K/mo rent replaces $26K/mo baseline assumption; $12K/month savings in fixed costs). At current trajectory:
| Timeline | Monthly Revenue | Status (vs. $40,400 break-even) |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 Month 12 | ~$17,500 | 57% below break-even |
| Year 2 Month 12 | ~$25,000 | 38% below |
| Year 2 Month 18 (Phase 2 launch) | ~$35,000 | 13% below |
| Year 3 Month 6 (6-lane, ~Month 24) | ~$45,000 | 11% ABOVE break-even ✓ |
| Year 3 Month 12 | ~$52,000+ | 29% above break-even — Profitable |
Prior estimate ($52,400 break-even) used $26K/month rent. Confirmed market rate is $12–16K/month — 38–54% lower. Break-even moves from Month 30 to approximately Month 22–24.
Total payback period: 18–24 months from opening (improved from 24–30 months).
Timeline: Submit all Phase 1 permits by Month 2 of project. Regulatory approval window = 60–90 days. Permits must be complete 30 days before soft opening.
| Item | Agency | Timeline | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| LLC Formation | TX Secretary of State | 1–2 weeks | $300 |
| Sales Tax Permit | TX Comptroller | 1–2 weeks | $0 |
| Zoning + CUP | City of Stephenville | 4–8 weeks | $500–$1,500 |
| Building Permit | City Building Dept | 2–4 weeks after CUP | $2,000–$5,000 |
| Fire Safety Inspection | Fire Marshal | 2 weeks post-construction | $300–$500 |
| Health Dept Food Permit | TX Health Dept | 4–6 weeks | $300–$600 |
| Food Handler Certs | DSHS (per employee) | 1 week each | $150–$300/person |
| ADA Compliance | City / Federal | Pre-opening | $500–$2,000 |
| Music Licensing | ASCAP/BMI/SESAC | 1–2 weeks | $600–$900/yr |
| Occupancy Certificate | Fire Marshal | Final inspection | $0 |
Total permitting cost: $5,000–$11,000 | Total timeline: 90–120 days
TABC Mixed Beverage Permit: 30–60 days after Phase 1 opening. Cost: $600–$900 (state) + $300–$500 (local). Requires Phase 1 CUP already approved.
Justin's path to capital: SBA 7(a) loan ($700K over 10 years @ 9.2% = $8,400/month payment). Industry-standard for bowling alley financing.
| SBA 7(a) Terms | Detail |
|---|---|
| Loan amount | $700K |
| Interest rate | 9.0%–9.5% (March 2026) |
| Term | 10 years |
| Monthly payment | ~$8,400–$8,700 |
| Required equity injection | 10–20% ($70K–$140K) |
Justin's current equity available: $0
$0 savings. $40,000 in student loan debt. Current income: Sonic paycheck (~$1,200/month). No family wealth to tap. His father passed away; family is working-class.
SBA lender will NOT approve a $700K loan without 10–20% equity skin in the game. This is the #1 blocking issue.
Why this is solvable: Market is real. Project is fundable. Founder is 100% committed. SBDC connects Justin to co-investor(s) and/or alternative equity programs → unlocks SBA lending → funds buildout → validates market → generates cash flow.